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Pakistani Defence Forum > International Defence Interaction > China & Far Eastern Strategic Issues
marchpole
http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianp...GeaZ2G7d-9Vlymg

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS (CP)

SHANGHAI, China — China widened its lead over the U.S. as the world's biggest auto market in January, with passenger car sales more than doubling to 1.32 million vehicles, an industry group reported Tuesday.

Spurred by tax cuts and other government stimulus measures, January's passenger car sales rose 18 per cent from December's 1.1 million vehicles sold and were up 116 per cent from the same month of 2009.

Total vehicle sales, including larger vehicles, also more than doubled from last year to 1.66 million units, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers said.

That compared with the 735,000 reported in January 2009, when sales in the Chinese market first overtook those in the U.S.

U.S. auto sales rose a modest 6 per cent in January, but that was up from a 26-year low of 656,976 a year before.

Beijing ignited sales last year with a series of policies aimed at encouraging car owners to trade in older vehicles, in many case three-wheel trucks, for more fuel-efficient small cars.

That helped push total vehicle sales up 45 per cent to an estimated 13.6 million in 2009, overtaking the American market as sales there languished.

The recovery in China's broader economy appears to be buoying demand, especially in inland regions that are growing more affluent as industries expand from the coastal areas to reach broader domestic markets.

The huge year-on-year jump in January sales also reflected relatively weak sales and production a year earlier, when China's economy had slowed due to the global financial crisis.

A rush to buy cars ahead of the Feb. 14 Lunar New Year, the country's biggest holiday, also contributed. But sales could fall off once the holiday is past, analysts say.

"We need to keep an eye on the data for February and March," said Wei Chenggang, an analyst at Shanghai Securities, in Shanghai.

"Given expectations that inflation may rise, people may spend less. And sales growth will fall slightly compared with the dramatic rise last year," Wei said.

The auto industry group stood by its estimate for sales totalling at least 15 million this year. But it also cautioned against assuming January will be typical for the year.

"January does not tell us what the whole year will be like, since the broader economy faces various uncertainties," the association said in a statement.

As automakers run at nearly full capacity, struggling to keep up with demand, there are few signs of fallout in China from Toyota Motor Corp.'s recall woes in other markets.

Toyota, which announced a Chinese recall of 75,552 RAV4 sport-utility vehicles in late January due to the same gas pedal problem as elsewhere, saw sales climb 53 per cent in January from a year earlier to 72,000 units.

The company says it expects its China sales to climb to 800,000 units this year from 709,000 in 2009.

But analysts say many in the Chinese industry are watching closely to see how the company handles the problem, viewing it as a lesson on the risks of fast expansion.

"Given the trends here, domestic automakers are keen to expand their manufacturing quickly, but they realize they need to keep a close eye on quality control," said Wei.


Associated Press researcher Ji Chen contributed to this report.

marchpole
FEBRUARY 9, 2010, 11:23 P.M. ET
China's Exports Grew in January

By TERENCE POON

BEIJING -- China's exports in January grew for the second consecutive month, increasing 21% from a year earlier, while imports expanded 85.5% in its third straight month of growth, government data showed Wednesday.

While the data are likely to bolster hopes Chinese trade will continue recovering this year and help the country's economic rebound, the figures were partly distorted by factors that make it hard to form a clear picture of the strength of the recovery.

Global commodity prices are rising, driving up import growth, and the year-earlier numbers were depressed by the financial crisis that hit trade hard in early 2009. Also, the weeklong Lunar New Year holiday, which tends to cut economic activity, fell in January last year and in February this year.

Exports in January totaled $109.48 billion, down 5.5% from December on a seasonally adjusted basis, the General Administration of Customs said on its Web site. Analysts in a Dow Jones Newswires survey had estimated a 28.5% rise in January exports from a year earlier, compared with December's 17.7% rise.

Imports in January totaled $95.31 billion, down 0.9% from December on a seasonally adjusted basis. The median estimate in the poll was for imports to rise 89.5% from a year earlier, compared with December's 55.9% rise.

The trade surplus in January narrowed to US$14.17 billion from $18.44 billion in December, according to the data. The median estimate was for a surplus of US$19.7 billion in January.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405...=googlenews_wsj

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